By - FFBot
10 team PPR Superflex with 6 pt passing TDs, 3 year round value max.
Fournette (18th - 2nd year)
Do you have a sense of what the QB draft pool will look like? I expect most of the top guys will be kept.
I'm probably going Murray, Lance, and Fournette. Williams in the 9th is tempting, but I think the other three give you a great win-now, high ceiling start in your league structure with all your high picks remaining to pick up elite talent in the pool.
I could see a case for Akers as well, but I have concerns regarding his injury, and also am super high on Lance for the year.
Dilemma time… need to pick three keepers, standard scoring 12 team league.
Two no brainers:
Kupp for a 5th
Jefferson for a 9th
Now to the dilemma:
Chubb for a 1st round pick or Akers for a 10th?
Yes Akers is obviously better value, but Top tier RBs are a premium commodity and in reality whichever one I pick up will be my RB1 for the year given so many of the top 12-15 will be off the draft board by the time I get to draft.
Who would you keep?
Akers. He'll still get 300+ carries and starts off with a weak run d schedule that'll give him and the coaches confidence. He'll be a top 10 back this year.
Thanks- definitely tempting to go Akers. If Watson misses the whole season it would help me decide. Chubb has been so solid for a number of years so it’s still hard to pass up the option to have him not just this year, but for up to the next three years.
Do I keep Javonte or Pitts? Half ppr - also keeping Swift and Adams.
I’d say javonte just bc rb are so hard to come by, and I think the whole offense should be better this year.
Pitts is great but the falcons are looking to be terrible this year and Pitts downgrade from teammate position is the opposite to that of javonte.
Should I keep Justin Jefferson in the 2nd round or Michael Pittman in the 9th round? 12 team ppr; allowed 1 keeper
I tend to go for the high end players but it’s good advice from elsewhere to consider draft position. Huge gap between 13th and 24th overall. Not sure Matty Ice is as much of a lock as other people do. Plus JJ could be a better keeper for future years if you’re allowed to do that.
Do you know your draft position, and have you mocked out other teams' keepers?
I could make a case for Pittman. Particularly if you have a later 1st round pick, you' could come out of the first two rounds with three top 15 WR (if you went WR/WR in rounds 1/2).
Your first WR would be someone like Diggs, unlikely you'd land Jefferson, but it's not a massive dropoff.
We haven’t drawn for draft positions yet, and I was thinking similarly. I love Jefferson but I feel like Pittman in the 9th round is a great value and I could still get a great player in round 2 even if they don’t have Jefferson’s potential. But I have friends who believe Jefferson will be the #1 receiver this year and they’re saying it wouldn’t be smart to let someone else grab him
JJ. Hes going to be an elite fantasy player this year
First year switching to Superflex. Don’t know how to gauge qbs.
12 team full ppr 1qb, 2rb, 3wr, 1flex, 1 superflex.
Kupp - 3rd
Chase - 5th
Lance - 12th
Cousins - 16th
Kupp and Chase easy.
Just try to load up on QB's in the draft
I'd keep Kupp and Lance.
Why Lance over Chase?
Because it's a Superflex league using last year's draft positions.
Assuming the vast majority of QBs (incl. Allen, Herbert, Lamar, Kyler) went in rounds 3 or later, they immediately become insane values in a Superflex league. Stafford '21 ADP rd 7, Hurts rd 8.
They're all going to be kept. So you are left to either overpay early for an average QB or you go into a SF keeper league with really bad options.
Makes sense! Thanks didn’t think of that.
Switching to SF is going to really skew keeper values and give some teams big advantages. Typically that's the type of change that should reboot keepers.
It will be really interesting to see who is kept and what it does to your draft board for this year. But I'd have to assume that the QB position will be really thin in the draft pool, and make decisions accordingly. Good luck!
12 team ppr. Pick 2 keepers.
Monty in the 5th,
Elijah Mitchell in the 10th,
Javonte in the 3rd,
Gabe Davis in the 10th,
Jalen Hurts in the 10th.
Definitely Mitchell and Monty. Two great values. Don’t take Javonte in the 3rd, most obvious trap in the draft.
Mitchell and Javonte for me and it’s not that close
Eli and Montgomery
Keep Jonathan Taylor in 1st round
Or keep Cooper Kupp in 4th round
Or keep JK Dobbins in last round
Agree that dobbins is too risky. Kupp at that value is too good to pass up for me
I'd go Kupp. If it's standard scoring, and you have a late 1st pick, Taylor miiiiight be my choice. No way on Dobbins.
12 team standard with 6 pt passing TDs.
League looks to vote for 0.5 ppr this year which will likely pass.
I co-manage with my dad and he wants to keep Jalen Hurts in the 7th (QBs often go early in our league).
I’d strongly prefer to keep Justin Jefferson in the 3rd.
JJ. Hurts is gonna fall behind passing QBs in a 6 point passing TD league. Loses his edge quite a bit. From that perspective, his value in the 7th isn’t good. JJ tho is great value in the 3rd.
Fire up JJ. His point differential vs. even a low end WR1 is so much bigger than hurts vs. practically any starting QB you end up with
sorry pops, jj
Jefferson. Only way Hurts in convo would be if it were superflex.
Yeah that’s his argument - we may swap to super flex, I should have said that. Though I think I’d still prefer JJ.
Feedback you didn't ask for, but switching to SF would be the type of change that should reset keepers. It hugely benefits anyone who has top tier QBs on their roster, especially since they tend to go later in drafts.
JJ without question.
Your dad is a taco
12 team half ppr
Keep Burrow @ 12 or st brown @ 15?
Sun god- I think you can get similar QB value at that price range (round 9-12) but you can’t get another ARSB anywhere beyond the 10th imo.
I'm not in love with either. Assuming you only get one keeper, I'd rather have a more elite player even if it meant a higher draft cost.
But just between these two, I'm keeping ARSB. Their ADPs are super similar right now, so I'm taking the guy with the lower cost. I'm confident I can replace QB in the draft.
Both are good values.
I'm big on St Brown but would probably take Burrow in the 12th.
People here will tell you never to keep a QB but it's nice to have a locked and loaded QB1, especially for a discount
I think I lean Burrow.
My first time ever doing keeper so I’m a little lost
12 Team PPR
Keep 3 players
Kupp is obviously a lock but I’m hung up on what to do other than that.
If you keep players permanently, you could think about not doing Evans as ur third, but to me Evans is pretty obviously a better pick than Etienne and Pittman, people are overthinking this imo.
Kupp mixon Pittman for me. Etienne could be a decent flier depending on last years round cost.
Kupp and Mixon are locks. After that I'd probably go Pittman or Etienne, since their cost will likely be lower. I like Evans this year but Pittman isn't far behind him and should be a much better value given your rules.
A lot is going to depend on the keeper rules and what picks you'll have to give up to keep the player. That'll impact whether you have a pick near the top of the draft and can grab a player quickly to fill a need or have to wait a few rounds.
All that being said, I like Kupp, Mixon, and Evans. Kupp and Evans make a strong WR group so you can focus on drafting other needs early. Mixon is a solid RB1 (plays in a good offense, doesn't have much competition for reps) and isn't coming off injury like Etienne.
Good luck with whoever you choose. Keepers leagues are a lot of fun.
I appreciate the insight!
The pick you give up is based off previous year ADP. So I think I’d give up a 3rd for mixon, 5th for kupp, 2nd or 3rd for Evans. No round penalty. Can’t keep multiple players with the same round ADP.
I like etienne’s upside, and his ADP was a mid round, if I remember correctly. But I’m with you on ensuring a strong WR group.
Etienne definitely has upside. You might be able to pick him up again in the draft or get another solid RB with your first round pick if one gets dropped by another team.